Showing posts with label Iceland. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Iceland. Show all posts

Thursday, 18 June 2026

Does road user charging deter electric vehicle sales?

 


On 20 May 2026 I had the privilege of presenting a seminar at the University of Sydney, Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies,  on the topic of "Road user Charging in Australia: Finally, after 20 years?".

One small piece of research I pulled together when preparing the seminar was to look at reported quarterly sales data for EVs (pure EVs, not hybrids) as a proportion of all new light vehicle sales, for New Zealand, Australia and Iceland. 

The reason being fairly simple. It is to identify any discernible impact on EV sales of the presence or absence of a distance based road user charge (RUC).

New Zealand introduced RUC for EVs on 1 April 2024.

Australia has no RUC for EVs.

Iceland had introduced RUC for EVs on 1 January 2024 and expanded it to all vehicles on 1 January 2026.

New Zealand's RUC rate for light EVs is the same rate for light diesel vehicles, and broadly equivalent to petrol tax.  That rate is NZ$0.076/km including GST of 15%.  Excluding GST this would be US$0.038/km or US$0.06 per mile.

Iceland's RUC rate for light EVs is ISK6.95 per km or around US$0.06 per km or US$0.1 per mile.

The result is fairly clear. There is no significant relationship between the introduction of RUC and EV sales.

Nine months after Iceland introduced RUC on EVs, sales grew and have continued to grow as a proportion of new light vehicle sales.  

In New Zealand there was no drop at all, although sales remained slow and only picked up recently, this is mainly attributable to poor economic growth and the after-effects of the removal of a major subsidy to buy EVs that was scrapped at the end of 2023 (bringing many sales forward before that time). 

Meanwhile, Australia, which has no RUC at all, has only slightly higher EV sales than New Zealand (although Australia has lower fuel tax, and higher incomes).

The oft-cited claim, seen in Australia, the UK and the US, is that requiring EV owners to pay to use the roads would deter their sales, relative to non-EVs, is largely specious. While lobbyists in those jurisdiction get political and media attention for their claims, the reality - in jurisdictions that actually have introduced mandatory RUC for EVs, is that it makes next to no difference.


Tuesday, 10 February 2026

Iceland's world first: What does it teach others?

Ten years ago nobody talked about Iceland and road user charging.  Even five years ago there was little thought given to the small European island, which is both outside the European Union and inside NATO.  With a population barely exceeding 400,000, it ranks alongside the Bahamas and Brunei in numbers.  In economic size it sits alongside Honduras, Cyprus and Georgia, although in GDP per capita (PPP) it exceeds Australia, Germany, Japan, France and Saudi Arabia.   Iceland's land area is slightly smaller than Guatemala, but larger than Hungary, south Korea or Jordan.  It's more than double the size of Switzerland or the Netherlands.  However, its road network is small in length, akin to Burundi and smaller than North Macedonia. It has a similar road density to Australia, indicative of a vast area of undeveloped land.

Around 64% of the population of Iceland lives in the Reykjavik metropolitan area. Around a fifth of its population are immigrants, a quarter of whom are Poles. 93% of the population speak Icelandic, but around 98% know English.

The point of all this is to note it is unique in many ways, but it is not especially small compared to many countries. It certainly is a high-income country, and has a notable number of immigrants as a proportion of population.

Given all that, the launch on 1 January 2026 of the world's first all vehicle road user charging (RUC) system is notable as an achievement. 

I wrote before about the launch of EV/PHEV/Hydrogen light vehicle RUC as a big step forward and then again in 2025 it was confirmed that Iceland would transition all vehicles to RUC, and abolish fuel tax. 

Not only is it an expansion of scope of the EV/PHEV/Hydrogen vehicle "kilometer tax", but it also appears to replace the heavy vehicle kilometer tax that has been in place since 

How is it being implemented?

Electric, plug-in hybrid and hydrogen light vehicles have been subject to the fee since early 2024, so will continue to pay as before.  They comprise around 16.5% of the vehicle fleet as of the end of 2025.  Around a third of cars sold new in Iceland in 2025 are battery electric vehicles, with another 21% cars sold being plug-in hybrid vehicles.  

As the fee applies for distance travelled in January 2026, it is expected that an odometer reading will be submitted on 1 February 2026 (with the deadline of 14 February for submitting it).  Those that have not submitted a reading for distance travelled in January will be assessed based on the average distance travelled by a car in Iceland during the month of January.  This is the basis for future fee payments. Either provide a measurement or be invoiced for an average.

If no odometer reading is made by 1 April 2026, a fine of ISK20000 (US$164.28) will be levied and it will be mandatory for the vehicles to be driven to a vehicle inspection point to have the odometer read.  On this occasion, vehicle owners will have 30 days to do this after 1 April.

There are various options for vehicle owners to submit odometer readings:

  • The Icelandic Government's "island.is" app;
  • Icelandic Government's internet portal account;
  • N1 app (app for a  fuel, EV charging station and convenience store chain)
  • At scheduled vehicle safety inspections (Most vehicles are required to be inspected annually)
  • Scheduling an odometer reading at a vehicle inspection station.
Vehicles up to a maximum registered weight of 10 tonnes (and rental cars) must submit a reading at least once a year, but may do so every 30 days.  Vehicles above that weight must submit a reading at least once every six months, but can submit new ones at a time. 

Given the legal requirement for vehicle safety inspections, this becomes the primary enforcement mechanism.

Change of ownership triggers a requirement to report the odometer reading at that point, so that the previous owner can be invoiced for the final amount, and the subsequent one has the account for the fee.

There are no telematics based options in Iceland at present, although it appears likely that there will be a strong case for enabling this for trucks with trailers at least, to reduce compliance costs.

How often must you pay?

Vehicle owners are required to pay monthly (with 14 days to pay after each invoice). The choice being whether to send an odometer reading so that it is actual distance driven, or to have an estimate calculated. Estimates will be based on previous readings, or if not available, but the average reading by vehicle type calculated by the Directorate of Internal Revenue (which for cars is 40km per day). 

How much are vehicles being charged?

The rate structure is based on registered vehicle weight as follow (US$ are rounded estimates based on today's conversion from Icelandic Krona.

Vehicle class/weight

ISK per kilometre

US$ per kilometre

Motorcycle/moped

4.15

0.034

0 – 3.5 tonnes

6.95

0.057

3.5 – 5 tonnes

9.85

0.08

5 – 6 tonnes

10.44

0.086

6 – 7 tonnes

11.06

0.09

7 – 8 tonnes

11.73

0.096

8 – 9 tonnes

12.43

0.102

9 – 10 tonnes

13.18

0.108

10 – 11 tonnes

13.98

0.115

11 – 12 tonnes

14.81

0.124

12 – 13 tonnes

16.29

0.134

13 – 14 tonnes

17.92

0.147

14 – 15 tonnes

19.71

0.162

15 – 16 tonnes

21.68

0.178

16 – 17 tonnes

23.86

0.197

17 – 18 tonnes

26.25

0.215

18 – 19 tonnes

27.37

0.224

19 – 20 tonnes

28.55

0.234

20 – 21 tonnes

29.77

0.244

21 – 22 tonnes

31.06

0.255

22 – 23 tonnes

32.40

0.266

23 – 24 tonnes

33.79

0.277

24 – 25 tonnes

35.24

0.289

25 – 26 tonnes

36.75

0.301

26 – 27 tonnes

38.04

0.312

27 – 28 tonnes

39.36

0.323

28 – 29 tonnes

40.74

0.334

29 – 30 tonnes

42.17

0.346

30 – 31 tonnes

43.65

0.358

Over 31 tonnes

45.17

0.37

Buses get a 10-30% discount for the first three years, and electric, hydrogen, methanol and methane powered heavy vehicles get an 80% discount for the next five years. 

Trailers with registered weights over 10 tonnes face similar fees as powered vehicles do in the above table.  Trailers are not required to be fitted with hubodometers (as in New Zealand), but those that do not have the fees added to the powered unit, with an independent recording needed to be made by the owner of that unit for distance travelled with trailers (it seems likely that this could be a compliance issue). 

Exemptions

Three categories of vehicles are exempt:

- Vehicles for use by rescue teams

- Vehicles registered no later than 1 January 1965 or earlier if demonstrated that the vehicle has no odometer and cannot be equipped with one

 - Vehicles owned by foreign embassies and diplomats.

Fuel tax?

On 1 January 2026, fuel tax was abolished in Iceland, resulting in a reduction in the price of petrol and diesel by around US$0.656-0.738 per litre on average (with some petrol dropping by around US$0.78 per litre).  This is a reduction of around 30% in the price of petrol and diesel overall.

Revenue from the new system is expected to be akin to that from fuel tax, being around ISK22 billion (US$180 million) per annum.

Lessons to draw?

It is possible to rollout a simple odometer based RUC system, with easy means to report distance travelled using apps as long as it is backed up by a regular vehicle inspection system that provides solid evidence of distance travelled from each vehicle.  Together, it means that there is a backup that reduces the risk of fraud.

Invoicing vehicle owners monthly, either by actual or estimated distance travelled means RUC can be seen as more of a utility bill, than a toll or an irregular tax.

Having the option of estimated bills helps to lower the burden for those who don't want to report distance regularly, but also incentivises vehicle owners to report distance to get exact invoices.

Starting with a smaller proportion of the fleet (EVs/PHEVs) reduces risks of any system, because it can provide a bedding in of the business rules and processes with a smaller number of customers (and in particular, ones more likely to be compliant).

Abolishing fuel tax at the same time as rolling out RUC for all vehicles, helps build public acceptance and trust that RUC exists to replace fuel tax, but it is unclear how easy it would be to introduce RUC for all vehicles in one step, if the vehicle fleet were significantly larger.

Having a RUC rates table based on weight classes is likely to better reflect the different levels of wear and tear on the network based on weight, noting that fixed costs don't vary by vehicle weight.  However, I question whether one tonne increments are necessary from 5 tonnes upwards, rather than wider bands to reflect averages.

Sure, Iceland has a small population, with many concentrated in one city, and it has little cross border travel  (so there is no need for any sophisticated means to distinguish distance travelled outside the country or to tax visitors' vehicles, as this happens infrequently), but it has the foundations of a functional, efficient system to collect revenue and send reasonable price signals as to paying for the costs of providing road infrastructure.  

There was some opposition to the tax, mainly from vehicle retailers concerned the tax would suppress EV sales, which it appears to have initially done, but there remains significant savings from owning an EV compared to a petrol vehicle, based on operating costs. 

It's early days to determine how much non-compliance there is, which will be important to watch. In particular, whether it affects vehicle registration compliance or if residents of rural areas may be less compliant.  

One thing to note is Iceland largely did all of this without a pilot, and without an extended period of detailed design and testing.  Iceland had a small amount of help in the early days, but between showing interest in RUC and putting all vehicles on it, has been a period of under five years.  The contrast with pretty much any other jurisdiction is astonishing, and perhaps demonstrates a clarity of policy objectives and assessment of options that other jurisdictions could do well to emulate.

Wednesday, 26 February 2025

Iceland confirms it will be the first country to fully replace fuel tax with distance based road user charges

Early last year I wrote about how Iceland was the first country ever to mandate a distance-based road user charge for electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid vehicles, which it successfully implemented just over a year ago.  Iceland also passed legislation to enable RUC to apply to all light vehicles.

The current Icelandic RUC system is depicted here on the official website, displaying the rates for EV/Hydrogen vehicles and PHEVs, 

The rates are ISK6 (US$0.043) for EVs/Hydrogen and ISK2 (US$0.014) per kilometre for PHEVs.

Iceland's public broadcaster, RUV, has reported (Icelandic) that the system is now to be extended to other vehicles according to the Minister of Finance, and it will apply from the middle of 2025.  

Coinciding with this, fuel tax will be abolished. There are no key details from the report except that the Minister of Finance, Prime Minister and Transport Minister are working on arrangements to implement it, and it will be similar to what has already been introduced. 

Iceland's `"Roads to the Future" site is quite good on data and more information about the concept, but major questions remain unanswered. The site indicates that weight will matter, which of course is important once vehicles have a gross maximum allowable weight of over 3.5 tonnes, noting Iceland already has a distance tax for vehicles over 10 tonnes.  

No doubt this will be revolutionary, and by abolishing the fuel tax (although there may remain a carbon tax to reflect CO2 emissions, it will be the first country to abolish motoring tax on fuel altogether (the only other example even close to this is New Zealand having no such tax on diesel, in exchange for having road user charges on all diesel powered vehicles).

Some of the big questions are as follows:

  • Will the rate for all other light vehicles be the same as the EV/Hydrogen vehicle rate? (seems logical)
  • Will the rate for PHEVs rise to the same level as other light vehicles?
  • What will the rate structure be for vehicles from 3.5 tonnes to 10 tonnes?
  • What will happen to the heavy vehicle distance tax? Will it be raised to reflect abolition of the tax on fuel, or will it be replaced with the new RUC system as well?
  • What efforts will be taken to minimise fraud with a system based on reporting odometer use?
  • What have been the results of the introduction of RUC on EVs, PHEVs and Hydrogen powered vehicles so far? Any issues with non-compliance or fraud?
  • Will the system be entirely based on manual reporting of distance (using mobile phones) or is Iceland open to more technologically sophisticated options to automatically report distance (particularly for heavy vehicles).
  • Will it apply to motorcycles as well, and if so will it be using the same system?
  • Will there be exemptions for travel off of public roads?
  • Is revenue going to be hypothecated to spending on roads (as fuel tax was not)?
  • Will future rate setting be informed by a cost allocation study/model, or by another approach that links prices to costs or another economic basis for price setting?
Principles of road user charging design in Iceland


Iceland is a small country with only 373,000 people and 12,898km of roads, but high ownership of private cars. 50% of newly registered cars are EVs or PHEVs, with over 18% of the light vehicle fleet now consisting of such vehicles.

It's notable that the Icelandic Government has calculated that with the new system it still will cost more to own and operate a petrol powered car than an EV.  Notable because it is a key concern that introducing RUC will disincentivise purchases of RUC.

 The taxes listed in Icelandic below are from left to right on the legend:
- Kilometre Tax
- Fuel tax
- Carbon Tax
- Energy cost
- Annual vehicle fee
- VAT


There is a presentation due to be made at the March 2025 Brussels RUC Conference, arranged by Akabo Media, on Iceland's system. It will be interesting indeed to see if there is anything to add.


Wednesday, 24 January 2024

Iceland and New Zealand: The first two countries to mandate road user charging for EVs

After many many years of others talking about it, one country has done it and another will soon follow.  On 1 January 2024, Iceland introduced mandated road user charging (RUC) for electric vehicles (EVs), Plug-In Hybrids (PHEVs) and Hydrogen powered vehicles, and from 1 April New Zealand will also do so for EVs and PHEVs.

Iceland

Iceland has launched EV RUC with a website called "Our Roads to the Future".  No later than 20 January 2024, eligible vehicles are required to have had their odometers read and recorded and transmitted to a government website or via a specific app. Those unable to use websites can go to an authorised service centre for an official reading.

The website indicates that the average petrol powered car pays ISK178,000 a year to use the roads (~US$1305) so the rate for EVs and hydrogen powered vehicles will be ISK6/km (US$0.044/km or US$0.07/mile), and for PHEVs at ISK2/km (US$0.015/km or US$0.024/mile). The lower fee for PHEVs reflect that they are still paying fuel excise for the use of petrol. Iceland presumably calculating that around two-thirds of kms driven by PHEVs is powered by petrol.

Iceland has indicated that this is a first step towards phasing out fuel taxes as a means of charging for road use, with the intention that RUC apply to all vehicles from 2025 (a distance-based tax already applies to some heavy vehicles). 

The reason given is the growing proportion of EVs and PHEVs in the vehicle fleet as illustrated by the graph below:

Proportion of private car fleet in Iceland with EVs or PHEVs

Furthermore, Iceland reports a 50% increase in distance travelled on its roads between 2012 and 2022, including a 36% increase in the number of registered cars.  On average vehicles are paying 30% less per vehicle in 2022 compared to 2012, because of the rise of EVs and PHEVs, as well as the emergence of more fuel efficient vehicles generally. 

In Iceland each vehicle owner will be invoiced monthly for distance travelled, which will be estimated based on the national average, until another odometer reading is reported after one year.  After that point motorists will be expected to supply more regular odometer readings.

Of interest is that the Icelandic Government has estimated that even after introduction of RUC, it will still be around ISK160,000 (US$1173) less per annum to drive an EV compared to an ICE vehicle, so that the impact of RUC on purchases of such vehicles is expected to be minimal. 

Some interesting stats from Iceland include:

  • 75% of owners of EVs and PHEVs are located in Reykjavik compared to 64% of the population
  • 64% of EV and 61% of PHEV owners are in the top three income deciles
  • The highest distances travelled by residents are in those located in municipalities immediately surrounding the Reykjavik metro area, lowest by those in more rural areas.  This contradicts some concerns that distance-based charges would unfairly penalise those in rural areas.
Iceland has a population of 373,000 but has one of the highest car ownership rates per capita in the world, with a road network of 12,898km. Iceland is moderately larger than South Korea and Hungary, and smaller than Bulgaria.

New Zealand

NZ has long had a RUC system that applies to heavy vehicles and light diesel vehicles (since 1978), but an exemption for EVs was introduced in 2009 and it was done on the basis that it would be lifted once EVs reached 2% of the light vehicle fleet (which has occurred).  Following the recent change of government in New Zealand from the centre-left Labour majority government to a centre-right National led coalition government, the newly appointed Minister of Transport, Hon. Simeon Brown had announced that RUC will apply to both EVs and PHEVs from 1 April. 

Owners of both types of vehicles will get a two-month grace period to buy a RUC licence, which are available prepaid in blocks of 1,000 of kilometres (e.g. a motorist might buy 1,000 or could buy 100,000 kms, although there is a time limit on RUC expiry in the event of a price increase).  The RUC rate for EVs will be the same as light diesel vehicle at NZ$0.076/km (US$0.046/km or US$0.074/mile), but the rate for PHEVs is NZ$0.053/km (US$0.032/km or US$0.052/mile).  This reflects a calculation that the majority of PHEV distance travelled in NZ is undertaken using electricity (with the difference made up from fuel excise duty paid through petrol).

Owners of both types of vehicles will need to take odometer readings after 1 April and will have subsequent odometer readings verified through annual Warrant of Fitness (WOF) (vehicle safety) checks.

At the end of 2023, there were around 73,000 EVs registered in NZ, and around 30,000 PHEVs.  RUC in NZ is administered by the NZ Transport Agency, which receives all RUC revenue to distribute to road controlling authorities and regional councils (and itself for maintenance and development of the state highway network) through the National Land Transport Programme (NLTP).

New Zealand has a population of around 5.3 million, with one of the highest car ownership rates in the world. Its road network is around 97,000km long. New Zealand is larger than the UK and moderately smaller than Italy.

Similar to Iceland, New Zealand's government has also announced intention to phase out fuel tax as a means of charging for road use, although there is no timetable for that to be implemented. It is likely that following the EV and PHEV RUC introduction, that other ICE powered hybrids would be next to be transitioned to RUC.  That's because petrol hybrids will soon be paying the least of any cars on NZ roads, because their average fuel consumption is around half of the petrol vehicle average.

In NZ a cost-allocation model is used to inform the setting of RUC rates, based on forecasting revenues needs for the forward-looking expenditure in the NLTP, and allocating that based on various vehicle characteristics includes axle load, weight, road space occupancy, vehicle specific factors and on a flat per km basis (depending on the type of spending).  This informs setting of the entire schedule of RUC rates distinguished by weight band and axle configuration.  The light RUC rate is converted into the fuel excise duty rate for petrol, by basing it on the total vehicle kilometres travelled of petrol vehicles divided by the average fuel economy of all light petrol vehicles.  Fuel tax for petrol is then, on average, the same as RUC for light vehicles.  

As petrol hybrid vehicles generally have half the fuel consumption of the fleet average, they pay half as much as petrol vehicles per km, on average, and after 1 April 2024, they will be charged half as much as pure EVs and PHEVs.  It will be important for NZ to shift such vehicles onto RUC within the next few years.  

Monday, 30 October 2023

Iceland likely to be first European country to introduce RUC for light vehicles

Few remember Iceland when discussing experience in road user charging (RUC) in Europe, perhaps because it is an island (and so has virtually no foreign vehicles visiting), and it is also not a member of the European Union (but then neither are Switzerland or Norway). 

Iceland has had for many years a RUC for heavy vehicles, in the form of a fairly simple weight-distance charge on vehicles with a maximum allowable mass of ten tons or greater.  In 2008, it raised IKK1.083b (US$7.8m).  

RUC for EVs and plug-in hybrid vehicles

However, Iceland is about to leap ahead of all other European countries in being the first to implement a nationwide distance-based RUC for electric, plug-in hybrid and hydrogen vehicles from 1 January 2024.  Consultation on a draft Bill (Icelandic only) to implement this charge has recently closed. Iceland Monitor reports that the fee will be ISK6 per km for electric and hydrogen powered vehicles (US$0.043 per km or US$0.069 per mile), but hybrids will be charged only ISK2 per km (US$0.014 per km or US$0.022 per mile), to reflect that they continue to pay fuel taxes. 

Iceland has had a significant growth in electric and hybrid vehicles, with 85% of new light vehicles sold in Iceland in 2022 being electric or plug-in hybrids.  This reflects a VAT exemption for such vehicles, and other very low taxes. 73% of Iceland's electricity comes from hydro-power and almost 27% from geothermal energy, so electricity prices in Iceland are immune from international commodity prices.  Nearly 20% of all cars in Iceland are either electric or hybrid of some form, so the impacts on fuel tax revenues have been considerable.

So Iceland will have surpassed the rest of Europe as no European country has so far mandated or even agreed to introduce some form of distance-based RUC for any light vehicles at all. 

RUC for all vehicles

This isn't the end, as the Icelandic budget indicated that the introduction of the new fee will be monitored in 2024 with an eye to applying it to ALL vehicles under ten tons, and to review the future of taxation of petrol and diesel. This had led to speculation that Iceland could put all vehicles on RUC and reduce or abolish fuel taxes used to fund the transport system. If it does so, then it will be a world-leader in transitioning from fuel taxes towards RUC, and so shifting from taxing energy to taxing road use.